100 down for Weaver; 200 to go? …

From 2006-12, only three pitchers have totaled more wins than Jered Weaver.

And still — at 29 and winding down his seventh season in the Majors — the Angels’ ace is only a third of the way to that hallowed 300 -win mark.

“It’s unbelievable,” Weaver said, after notching his 100th career victory with seven innings of three-run ball in an 11-3 win over the Rangers on Tuesday. “To even fathom 300 wins is awesome. The guys that have done it are pretty good. It’d be great to match that, but I don’t see that happening.”

Does Weaver even stand a chance at 300?

Well, he’s averaged just over 14 wins during his first seven years (granted, he made only 19 starts as a rookie in ’06). Since he’s got three starts left this season, though, let’s put that number at 15. At an average of 15 wins, Weaver would reach No. 300 in his 21st season — or, more specifically in the early portion of the year 2026. By that time, Weaver will be 44 years old and Albert Pujols‘ contract will have expired five years ago.

So, no. It’s not Weaver’s fault. He’s as good as there is.

Modern-day baseball — enamored by pitch counts, innings limits, bullpen roles and bringing starters along slowly — just doesn’t seem to breed 300-game winners anymore.

Consider: 24 pitchers have reached the 300-win threshold, but of that group, only Randy Johnson, Tom Glavine, Roger Clemens and Greg Maddux pitched in this millenium. The only active pitchers with more than 200 wins are Jamie Moyer (269) and Andy Pettitte (243), neither of whom even have a remote chance at 300 at their advanced ages. Roy Halladay has 198, but he’s 35 and is starting to show signs of slowing down. Same for CC Sabathia, who has 189 at age 32. Tim Hudson has 196, but he’s 37.

Will anyone ever win 300 games again? You’d think so. But not any time soon, it seems.

“It’s tough,” Weaver said. “I mean, a lot of those guys were throwing on three days’ rest … and the guys that weren’t doing that pitched about 15 to 20 years. I don’t know if my body’s going to hold up for 15 or 20 years. I would love for it to, but I don’t know, we’ll see what happens.”

For now, the Angels can enjoy the fact Weaver got to triple-digits before age 30. That’s a feat in itself.

“He’s off to a great start to his career obviously,” Angels manager Mike Scioscia said. “He’s put himself in a great position every time he takes the ball to pitch deep into games. If you have a good supporting cast behind you, scoring runs and playing defense, you’re going to put together wins. Weave is doing it. We look forward to the next hundred.”

But probably not two-hundred.

Alden

3 Comments

I can definitely see Weaver reaching 200-215 but no more. I think he will average 17-19 for the next 3 years (32 yrs. old) then maybe drop down to 13-15 for the next 2 (34 years old) then 9-11 for another 2 (36) then he retires with 2 World Series Rings and a Cy Young Award. What a life.

Weaver is by far my favorite pitcher the Angels have ever had. Him taking WAY less money than he’s worth was a classy move. He grew up in SoCal and he will retire in SoCal (dreaming). I hope he wins at least one.. or more, World Series. T&T + The Machine should help him get er done. #DreamWeaver #2012CyYoung

Weaver is a dirtbag and a class act. I hope he can stay with the Angels the rest of his career.

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